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GDP estimates for April-June
(Progress in %)
KEY DRIVERS
- Funding progress doubtless recovered
- Rail freight, GST e-way payments corroborate progress
- GVA progress is seen at 14.5%
- Vaxx drive booster for contact-intensive companies
- 17-19% progress in commerce, accommodations, transport, communication
- Excessive company journey, decrease infections in Q1
- Lockdown easing benefited city consumption
DRAGS ON GROWTH
- Russia-Ukraine warfare, excessive commodity costs dampened consumption
- Extreme heatwave hit wheat output, farm progress
- Farm progress might slip to three% from 4.1% in This fall
- Slowing exports impacted the trade
- Rising rates of interest and excessive inflation
WHAT’S AHEAD
- Regular progress seen however a number of dangers
- FY23 GDP pegged at round 7%
- Demand destruction in India’s key buying and selling companions: US, EU, China
- Unsure world atmosphere, geo-political scenario
- Slowdown in world progress
- Inflation and financial tightening may dent demand